Mar 18, 2025
GoldPrecious Metals

Viewing the gold price in a vacuum, some may think there is a bubble in gold, but that is far from the case
The gold price is, after all, doing this…
Just last week the gold price ticked our target of 3000+, which was established in 2020 as gold topped out and began its handle-making phase and pattern consolidation, after making a higher right side high to its massive and bullish Cup pattern.
Is this round number target (it was actually the Cup's measurement) a stop sign? Maybe, for a while. Maybe not. Targets are objectives, not earth shattering conclusions, and bull markets do not go straight up.
Aside from gold's nominal price, I have frequently presented this chart of the gold price relative to the S&P 500. This shows who has really been the recipient of official (Fed and government) inflationary policies since 2011, and who has not.

But in looking through nftrh.com's extensive Links page, I reacquainted myself with Macrotrends, a helpful website that holds a lot of ratio charts of various markets. It's a nice visual nerd fest. Below is one that goes well with my assertion in the chart above.
A bubble in gold? Hardly, as compared to the bubble in Monetary Base, which is a way of saying the bubble in monetary policy. I have been assigning the real bubble dynamics to monetary and fiscal policy, with the stock market simply being bubble beneficiary #1. Gold, on the other hand… Palookaville.
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